96! 97! Why, yes! Finally, after toughing it out allllll summer, the Atlantic is brewing! It should be, with all of the record heat waves we’ve had. Not one, but two tropical waves are being monitored for further development at present, and we’ll keep our eyes on the radars to see what progresses over the next couple of days. As of right now, the percentages for major surf are not that high, but most models are seeing a little bit of a longer period mix swell starting to show in the waist-to-chest-high range by next Tuesday afternoon. Until then, it will be small, yet ridable, at times on the right boards. Hang in there, some swell is on the way … we just don’t really know how much yet. The good thing is the ocean is starting to churn up some systems, and it is almost primetime for a few saw blades to start mowing our way.

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  • TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
  • NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
  • 800 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016
  • FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC… CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO:
  • A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20-25 MPH. ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS POORLY ORGANIZED, AND GIVEN THE FAST MOTION OF THE SYSTEM ANY DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS, VIRGIN ISLANDS, PUERTO RICO, AND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE WEEKEND. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA, WHERE CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. * FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS… LOW… 10 PERCENT * FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS… LOW… 30 PERCENT
  • SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF CABO VERDE CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME, SOME DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE THE DISTURBANCE ENCOUNTERS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC EARLY NEXT WEEK. * FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS… MEDIUM… 40 PERCENT * FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS… MEDIUM… 50 PERCENT

 

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Friday

SURF: 1-2ft
SWELL: ESE
WIND: WSW winds 5-10 in AM turning ESE 5-10+ in PM

Saturday

SURF: 1-2ft
SWELL: ESE
WIND: WSW winds less than 5 in AM turning ESE 5-10+ in PM

Sunday

SURF: 1-2ft
SWELL: ESE
WIND: WSW winds 5-10 in AM turning ESE 5-10+ in PM

Monday

SURF: 1-2ft
SWELL: E
WIND: WSW winds 5-10 in AM turning SE 5-10+ in PM

Tuesday

SURF: *1-3ft*
SWELL: E to ESE
WIND: light WSW winds most of the day turning SSE 5-10 late PM

Wednesday

SURF: *2-3ft*
SWELL: ESE
WIND: light WSW winds most of the day turning SSE 5-10 late PM

Thursday

SURF: *2-3ft*
SWELL: ESE
WIND: light WSW winds in AM turning ESE 5-10 in PM